Elekdag, Selim.

Rapid Credit Growth Boon or Boom-Bust? / Selim Elekdag. [electronic resource] : Selim Elekdag. - Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011. - 1 online resource (42 p.) - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 11/241 . - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 11/241 .

Episodes of rapid credit growth, especially credit booms, tend to end abruptly, typically in the form of financial crises. This paper presents the findings of a comprehensive event study focusing on 99 credit booms. Loose monetary policy stances seem to have contributed to the build-up of credit booms across both advanced and emerging economies. In particular, domestic policy rates were below trend during the pre-peak phase of credit booms and likely fuelled macroeconomic and financial imbalances. For emerging economies, while credit booms are associated with episodes of large capital inflows, international interest rates (a proxy for global liquidity) are virtually flat during these periods. Therefore, although external factors such as global liquidity conditions matter, and possibly increasingly so over time, domestic factors (especially monetary policy) also appear to be important drivers of real credit growth across emerging economies.

1463922620 : 18.00 USD

1018-5941

10.5089/9781463922627.001 doi


Boom-Bust Cycles
Capital Inflows
Credit Boom
Current Account Deficits
Economic Growth of Open Economies
Emerging Asia


Bulgaria
Indonesia
Korea, Republic of
United States

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