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The Sensitivity of Secondary Sovereign Loan Market Returns to Macroeconomlc Fundamentals [electronic resource] - Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1990. - 1 online resource (32 p.) - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 90/55 . - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 90/55 .

The sensitivity of secondary sovereign loan market returns to three classes of economic news is estimated in the arbitrage pricing theory framework. Returns are characterized by a limited response to unexpected changes in procyclical U.S. aggregates. Shocks to country-specific balance of payment indicators do not impact debt prices. Announcements of policy changes by creditors and third parties that presage changes in future lending induce large debt price changes. The failure of the data to meet the empirical arbitrage pricing theory restrictions and the large proportion of return variance unexplained by macroeconomic fundamentals highlight the differences between corporate and sovereign securities.

ISBN: 1451968981 : 10.00 USD

ISSN: 1018-5941

Standard No.: 10.5089/9781451968989.001 doi

Subjects--Topical Terms:
Balance of Payment
Bond
External Debt
Government Bond
Sovereign Debt

Subjects--Geographic Terms:
Brazil
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
Mexico
Venezuela, República Bolivariana de